June 7, 2025

Silver Hits 13-Year High Amid Rare-Earth Supply Fears and Dollar Weakness

Illustration of a silver coin with a rising red arrow and a background map showing the U.S. and China.

A Rare Metal Rally: Why Silver Is Suddenly Shining Again

Silver prices have surged to $36.29 per ounce, their highest level since 2012, jolting investor attention back to precious metals. This week’s rally comes as escalating U.S.–China tensions over rare-earth minerals, a declining U.S. dollar, and safe-haven demand ahead of the U.S. jobs report converge to fuel silver’s momentum.

For investors looking to navigate global uncertainty, silver’s breakout is more than just a commodities headline—it’s a signal of shifting tides in currency strength, geopolitical dynamics, and industrial supply chains.


Why Silver Is Rallying Now

1. Geopolitical Risk: Rare-Earth Rattles Fuel Metals Demand

Concerns are mounting over China’s control of rare-earth exports, particularly as Washington considers new restrictions on advanced chip and defense technology shipments. According to The Guardian, this backdrop has prompted increased demand for alternative strategic metals—including silver, which is not only a store of value but critical in solar panels, EVs, and electronics.

As the U.S. and China ramp up trade barriers and diplomatic strain, investors are hedging against potential supply disruptions in key technology metals. Silver—alongside gold—offers a liquid hedge in this uncertain environment.

2. Dollar Weakness: A Tailwind for Precious Metals

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has slipped below 103, pressured by soft economic data and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates later this year. A weaker dollar typically makes dollar-denominated commodities like silver cheaper for foreign buyers, fueling demand.

Moreover, inflation expectations are rebounding in some corners of the bond market. Should inflation remain sticky, silver’s dual role as a monetary and industrial asset becomes even more attractive.

3. Jobs Report Jitters: Macro Data on Deck

Investors are also positioning ahead of the U.S. non-farm payrolls report, scheduled for release Friday. A softer-than-expected print could reinforce bets on rate cuts, further supporting silver’s rally. Conversely, a surprise upside could spark short-term volatility—but few expect it to derail the broader uptrend in metals.


Expert Commentary and Market Signals

“Silver is riding a perfect storm of macroeconomic and geopolitical tailwinds,” said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities. “Its industrial use cases align well with long-term electrification themes, while its monetary role offers near-term protection.”

Data from Bloomberg shows that silver ETF inflows have risen over $500 million in the past month, while open interest in silver futures hit a 9-month high, pointing to renewed institutional interest.

Additionally, the gold-to-silver ratio has fallen from 90 to 78 over the last two months—a sign that silver is outperforming its yellow counterpart.


Future Trends to Watch

🟩 Green Tech Demand

Silver plays a critical role in solar photovoltaic (PV) cells and EV circuitry. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts a 40% increase in silver demand from green energy sectors by 2030.

🟦 Monetary Policy Shifts

If the Fed signals rate cuts later this summer, metals could gain further. Watch for signals from the July FOMC meeting and CPI data in mid-June.

🟥 U.S.–China Escalation

Should China restrict rare-earth exports in retaliation, silver and other industrial metals could spike as supply chain fears spread.


Key Investment Insight

Silver is reasserting itself as a strategic asset for modern portfolios—bridging the gap between industrial growth and monetary uncertainty.

🔹 Tactical Play: Consider short-term exposure via silver ETFs like SLV or SIVR, or miners such as First Majestic Silver (AG) and Pan American Silver (PAAS).
🔹 Long-Term Hedge: Gold remains a safer inflation hedge, but silver offers more beta and upside if the rally sustains.
🔹 Diversified Metals Basket: Blend exposure with rare-earth or critical minerals ETFs to position for broader geopolitical tension.


Stay Ahead with MoneyNews.Today

The metals market is flashing signals that smart investors can’t ignore. Whether you’re hedging against macro risk or betting on green industrial growth, silver may shine brightest in the months ahead.

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