October 9, 2025

Citi Raises Ether Outlook, Trims Bitcoin View Amid Shifting Flows

Symbolic digital illustration showing Ethereum gaining momentum while Bitcoin steadies, representing shifting investor flows in the crypto market.

The crypto market’s center of gravity may be shifting. Citigroup has adjusted its year-end forecasts for major digital assets, raising its price target for Ether to $4,500 while trimming its view on Bitcoin. The move, reported by Investing.com, reflects institutional demand tilting toward yield-bearing digital assets, particularly Ethereum’s staking and decentralized finance (DeFi) utility.

This recalibration underscores a deeper narrative: after years of Bitcoin dominance, investors are starting to diversify exposure across the crypto ecosystem.


Ethereum Steps Into the Spotlight

Ethereum’s growth story in 2025 has been bolstered by the network’s staking model, which generates yield for institutional and retail holders alike. With global interest rates stabilizing after years of central bank tightening, yield-bearing digital assets offer an alternative source of returns.

According to data from Glassnode, over 27% of ETH’s circulating supply is now staked, reflecting rising institutional engagement. Bloomberg recently highlighted that asset managers view Ethereum as “programmable money,” with utility spanning smart contracts, tokenization, and decentralized finance. This breadth of use cases has differentiated Ether from Bitcoin’s role as “digital gold.”

By raising its Ether outlook, Citi is signaling that the market is rewarding utility and yield in addition to scarcity narratives.


Why Bitcoin Is Losing Flow Share

Bitcoin remains the largest cryptocurrency, with a market cap hovering above $1.2 trillion, but recent flows have been less supportive. Citi’s revised target reflects slowing institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and increased rotation into assets offering yield or broader application.

The digital asset has also been affected by macro headwinds. A stronger U.S. dollar and lingering global risk aversion have capped upside momentum, while its correlation with equities has tightened again in recent months. As analysts at JP Morgan note, Bitcoin’s appeal as a portfolio diversifier weakens when it trades more like a risk asset than a safe haven.


Future Trends to Watch

  1. Staking as a Catalyst: With Ethereum yields often ranging between 3%–6% annually, institutions may treat ETH allocations as an income-generating asset. This positions Ether as a unique hybrid of growth and yield.
  2. DeFi Expansion: Ethereum remains the backbone of decentralized finance, powering lending, trading, and tokenized real-world assets. Growth in tokenization of bonds and real estate could fuel demand for ETH.
  3. Bitcoin’s Halving Dynamics: Scheduled for April 2026, the next halving will cut miner rewards, historically a bullish event. However, Citi’s cautious stance suggests that near-term headwinds may overshadow long-term supply dynamics.
  4. Regulation and ETFs: U.S. and EU regulators continue to shape the landscape. Ethereum ETF approvals in Europe and potential staking-derivative products could drive further institutional flows.

Key Investment Insight

For crypto allocators, Citi’s adjustment highlights a rotation risk: Bitcoin may lose incremental flow share to Ethereum as investors seek yield and utility. Practical strategies include:

  • Diversification: Avoid binary bets. Balancing Bitcoin’s scarcity narrative with Ethereum’s utility and yield can smooth volatility.
  • Hedging: Short-term Bitcoin pullbacks may be offset by ETH strength. Options and futures markets offer tools for tactical hedging.
  • Second-Derivative Plays: Consider exposure to infrastructure firms powering Ethereum staking and DeFi, such as Coinbase ($COIN), Lido, or other staking-as-a-service providers.

Ethereum’s rising prominence signals an important inflection point in the crypto market. If the trend continues, portfolio strategies built around “Bitcoin first” may need to evolve.

Stay with MoneyNews.Today for the latest market insights and actionable analysis as crypto markets enter a new phase of institutional engagement.